Maintaining Reliable Agriculture Productivity and Goyder’s Line of Reliable Rainfall

Abstract

Our aim in this study is to generate rainfall totals using multidimensional copulas designed to simulate realistic rainfall statistics that inform analysis ofcurrent rainfall patterns and enables better projections for a comprehensive range of future scenarios which can be used as input to ecological models including yield crop simulations for management and risk assessment. To demonstrate the mathematical models, we consider a Case Study of Goyder’s line of reliable rainfall and the goal of maintaining reliable agriculture productivity in South Australia. We will present the results from the rainfall models using copulas of maximum entropy and discuss how they can be used to assist with management of land use in South Australia