Predictive Value of Ionized Calcium for Prognosis of Sepsis in Very Low Birth Weight Infants

Abstract

Purpose: Previous studies have shown that ionized calcium (iCa) is strongly correlated with critical illnesses, including sepsis. However, there are few studies on the association of iCa levels and sepsis in very low birth weight infants (VLBWI). Therefore, the aim of this study was to investigate the role of iCa in assessing the severity of sepsis and in predicting the prognosis of sepsis in VLBWI. Patients and Methods: 249 eligible VLBWI with sepsis were included in the present study and were divided into good and poor prognosis groups according to prognosis. We collected complete laboratory and clinical data. The lowest iCa measured during the first 24h from sepsis onset was recorded, and the Pediatric Risk of Mortality (PRISM III) score was calculated for each newborn. Results: Neonatal mortality was higher in the hypocalcemia group (32.80% vs 12.80%, P < 0.001), and iCa levels were negatively correlated with PRISM III scores (r= −0.819, P < 0.001). The result of multiple logistic regression analysis showed that iCa was an independent predictor of poor prognosis (odds ratio [OR]= 0.558, 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.406–0.768, P < 0.001). Furthermore, our data demonstrated that iCa was also an independent predictor for the occurrence of death in VLBWI with sepsis who have a poor prognosis (OR= 0.659, 95% CI, 0.445–0.977, P =0.038). ROC curve analysis showed that iCa had good discriminatory power in predicting the poor prognosis (AUC=0.739, 95% CI, 0.664–0.813, P <0.001) in VLBWI with sepsis. Conclusion: iCa levels correlate with the severity of sepsis and can be an independent predictor of poor prognosis in VLBWI with sepsis.