International transfer pricing and tax avoidance: Evidence from linked trade-tax statistics in the United Kingdom

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Abstract

This paper employs unique data on export transactions and corporate tax returns of UK multinational firms and finds that firms manipulate their transfer prices to shift profits to lower-taxed destinations. It shows that the 2009 tax reform in the United Kingdom, which changed the taxation of corporate profits from a worldwide to a territorial system, led to a substantial increase in transfer mispricing. It also provides evidence for a trade creation effect of transfer mispricing and estimates substantial transfer mispricing in non-tax-haven countries with lowto medium-level corporate tax rates, and in R&D intensive firms.

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Liu, L., Schmidt-Eisenlohr, T., & Guo, D. (2020). International transfer pricing and tax avoidance: Evidence from linked trade-tax statistics in the United Kingdom. Review of Economics and Statistics, 102(4), 766–778. https://doi.org/10.1162/rest_a_00871

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