Sustainable aviation biofuels: Scenarios for deployment

Abstract

The international aviation industry expects aviation biofuels to make a substantial contribution to reducing the sector's CO2 emissions by 2050. This paper provides an analysis of the potential supply of sustainable aviation fuels globally and an insight into the contribution they could and would need to make towards carbon neutral growth of the aviation industry post 2020. It does so by developing scenarios of how much sustainable aviation fuel may be produced globally to 2030, and the resulting CO2 emissions savings. It then estimates the volume of sustainable fuel required to meet the aviation industry's fuel-related CO2 emissions savings projections for 2050 and discusses the viability of such ambition.