Assessing the efficiency of movement restriction as a control strategy of ebola

Abstract

We formulate a two-patch mathematical model for Ebola Virus Disease dynamics in order to evaluate the effectiveness of travel restriction (cordons sanitaires), mandatory movement restrictions between communities while exploring their role on disease dynamics and final epidemic size. Simulations show that strict restrictions in movement between high and low risk areas of closely linked communities may have a deleterious impact on the overall levels of infection in the total population.