Incremental Learning of Non-stationary Temporal Causal Networks for Telecommunication Domain

Abstract

In today’s competitive telecommunication industry understanding the causes that influence the revenue is of importance. In a continuously evolving business environment, the causes that influence the revenue keeps changing. To understand and quantify the effect of different factors we model it as a non-stationary temporal causal network. To handle the massive volume of data, we propose a novel framework as part of which we define rules to identify the concept drift and propose an incremental algorithm for learning non-stationary temporal causal structure from streaming data. We apply the framework on a telecommunication operator’s data and the framework detects the concept drift related to changes in revenue associated with data usage and the incremental causal network learning algorithm updates the knowledge accordingly.