Uncertain reasoning and decision making

Abstract

In this paper we discuss uncertain reasoning and decision making. Our proposal is based on the knowledge we have and entirely formalized within the so called classical two valued logic, so it has a solid foundation. Basic notions of various items are defined formally; formulas of supporting degree for uncertain reasoning and supporting degree with safety for decision making are introduced. Evaluation of "weighted facts", which represents the different importance of facts, is clearly presented within our proposal without anything else. The relation between uncertain reasoning and decision making is discussed in detail. Examples in the paper are comprehensively exhibited, which shows that our proposal is reasonable and computer-operative. © 2005 by International Federation for Information Processing.