Progress report: Improving the stock price forecasting performance of the bull flag heuristic with genetic algorithms and neural networks

Abstract

We back-test a pattern-based heuristic from stock market technical analysis on price and volume time series data for Alcoa Aluminum Company’s common stock. Promising results are obtained using a pattern matching approach implemented with spreadsheet technology. Improvement in these results are attained through the application of neural networks and genetic algorithms. Results are confirmed statistically.