How Disruptive Can Shared Mobility Be? A Scenario-Based Evaluation of Shared Mobility Systems Implemented at Large Scale

Abstract

This paper reports on ongoing work on getting a deeper insight into possible integrations of different shared vehicle systems. It introduces an original methodology in three stages, which helps dealing with the complexity of the problem. Using a simulation tool, different scenarios are assessed. The paper presents preliminary results obtained by simulating two extreme-case scenarios with large-scale car-sharing and bike-sharing schemes. The results suggest that shared mobility, if supplied at large scale and in the right mix, could indeed serve a large share of current travel demand without substantial losses in terms of generalized costs.