Statistics for Biology and Health: Applying Quantitative Bias Analysis to Epidemiologic Data

Abstract

art II Quantum Physics and Financial Markets Quantum-like Viewpoint on the Complexity and Randomness of the Financial Market Olga Choustova . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53 Classical and Quantum-Like Randomness and the Financial Market Andrei Khrennikov . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 67 Part III New Empirical Approaches to Complex Economic Dynamics Examination of the Cost-of-Carry Formula for Futures Contracts on WIG20. Wavelet and Nonlinear Cointegration Analysis XII Contents Joanna Bruzda . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 81 A Evolution of Trust in Economic Systems Terry Bossomaier, Mike Harr´ e, James Thompson . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3 Keynes, Hayek and Complexity Paul Ormerod . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19 A look at the relationship between industrial dynamics and aggregate fluctuations Domenico Delli Gatti, Edoardo Gaffeo, Mauro Gallegati . . . . . . . . . 33 Part II Quantum Physics and Financial Markets Quantum-like Viewpoint on the Complexity and Randomness of the Financial Market Olga Choustova . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53 Classical and Quantum-Like Randomness and the Financial Market Andrei Khrennikov . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 67 Part III New Empirical Approaches to Complex Economic Dynamics Examination of the Cost-of-Carry Formula for Futures Contracts on WIG20. WavComplex Approach to Estimate Shadow Economy: The Structural Equation Modelling Roberto Dell’Anno, Friedrich Schneider . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 111 Will house prices rise in 2007? A comparative assessment of house prices in London and Dublin Peter Richmond . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 131 Part IV Models of Risk Management and Decision Support Risk Measuremant and Fair Valuation Assessment in the Life Insurance Field Mariarosaria Coppola, Valeria D’Amato, Emilia di Lorenzo, Marilena Sibillo. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 149 Analysis of Qualitative and Quantitative Rankings in Multicriteria Decision Making Livia D’Apuzzo, Gabriella Marcarelli, Massimo Squillante . . . . . . . 157