Olympic medals: Does the past predict the future?

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Abstract

How many medals will each country win in Rio this August? Recent history provides some strong indications, but a more sophisticated approach might produce better predictions. Julia Bredtmann, Carsten J. Crede and Sebastian Otten investigate.

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Bredtmann, J., Crede, C. J., & Otten, S. (2016). Olympic medals: Does the past predict the future? Significance, 13(3), 22–25. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1740-9713.2016.00915.x

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