An approximate theory is developed of small-amplitude transient eddies on a slowly varying time-mean flow. Central to this theory is a flux MT, which in most respects constitutes a generalization of the Eliassen-Palm flux to three dimensions; it is a conservable measure of the flux of eddy activity (for small amplitude transients) and is parallel to group velocity for an almost-plane wave train. The use of this flux as a diagnostic of transient eddy propagation is demonstrated by application of the theory to a ten-year climatology of the Northern Hemisphere winter circulation. Results show the anticipated concentration of eddy flux along the major storm tracks. While, in a suitably transformed system, MT may be regarded as a flux of upstream momentum, it is not a complete description of the eddy forcing of the mean flow; additional effects arise due to downstream transience (i.e., spatial inhomogeneity in the direction of the time-mean flow) of the eddy amplitudes. The relation between MT and the 'E-vector' of Hoskins et al. is discussed. -Author
CITATION STYLE
Plumb, R. A. (1986). Three-dimensional propagation of transient quasi-geostrophic eddies and its relationship with the eddy forcing of the time-mean flow. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 43(16), 1657–1678. https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0469(1986)043<1657:TDPOTQ>2.0.CO;2
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