How common is the common-ratio effect?

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Abstract

The common-ratio effect and the Allais Paradox (common-consequence effect) are the two best‐known violations of Expected Utility Theory. We reexamine data from 39 articles reporting experiments (143 designs/parameterizations, 14,909 observations) and find that the common-ratio effect is systematically affected by experimental design and implementation choices. The common-ratio effect is more likely to be observed in experiments with a low common-ratio factor, a high ratio of middle to highest outcome, when lotteries are presented as simple probability distributions (not in a compound/frequency form), and with high hypothetical incentives.

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Blavatskyy, P., Panchenko, V., & Ortmann, A. (2023). How common is the common-ratio effect? Experimental Economics, 26(2), 253–272. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10683-022-09761-y

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