Assessing Dynamic Risk and Dynamic Strength Change Patterns and the Relationship to Reoffending Among Women on Community Supervision

Abstract

This study examines how dynamic risk and strength factors change over time and whether these changes are predictive of reoffending outcomes. The sample includes 2,877 Canadian women under community supervision with Service Planning Instrument reassessment data. Over a 30-month period, patterns of change in total dynamic risk and strength scores were examined. Change parameters were entered into a series of logistic regression models, linking change to three reoffending outcomes: technical violations, any new charges, and new violent charges. Overall, total dynamic risk scores decreased, and total dynamic strength scores increased over time. Change in total dynamic risk scores predicted any new charges and technical violations, whereas change in total dynamic strength scores only predicted technical violations. Findings demonstrated the utility of reassessing dynamic risk and strength scores over time and support the incorporation of strengths-based approaches with women involved in the criminal justice system.