Preoperative Prediction of Cytokeratin 19 Expression for Hepatocellular Carcinoma with Deep Learning Radiomics Based on Gadoxetic Acid-Enhanced Magnetic Resonance Imaging

Abstract

PURPOSE: Cytokeratin 19 (CK19) expression is a proven independent prognostic predictor of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This study aimed to develop and validate the performance of a deep learning radiomics (DLR) model for CK19 identification in HCC based on preoperative gadoxetic acid-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)., PATIENTS AND METHODS: A total of 141 surgically confirmed HCCs with preoperative gadoxetic acid-enhanced MRI from two institutions were included. Prediction models were established based on hepatobiliary phase (HBP) images using a training set (n=102) and validated using time-independent (n=19) and external (n=20) test sets. A receiver operating characteristic curve was used to evaluate the performance for CK19 prediction. Recurrence-free survival (RFS) was also analyzed by incorporating the CK19 expression and other factors., RESULTS: For predicting CK19 expression, the area under the curve (AUC) of the DLR model was 0.820 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.732-0.907, P<0.001) with sensitivity, specificity, accuracy of 0.800, 0.766, and 0.775, respectively, and reached 0.781 in the external test set. Combined with alpha fetoprotein, the AUC increased to 0.833 (95% CI: 0.753-0.912, P<0.001) and the sensitivity was 0.960. Intratumoral hemorrhage and peritumoral hypointensity on HBP were independent risk factors for HCC recurrence by multivariate analysis. Based on predicted CK19 expression and the independent risk factors, a nomogram was developed to predict RFS and achieved C-index of 0.707., CONCLUSION: This study successfully established and verified an optimal DLR model for preoperative prediction of CK19-positive HCCs based on gadoxetic acid-enhanced MRI. The prediction of CK19 expression in HCC using a non-invasive method can help inform preoperative planning. Copyright © 2021 Chen et al.