Empirical evidence suggests that the perceived certainty of apprehension is a far more effective deterrent than the severity of sanctioning. In concordance with this, many policing strategies have focused on increasing the certainty of apprehension as a key tactic in crime reduction. This chapter describes how recent advances in criminological understanding of perceived certainty are thought to influence offender decision-making. We then illustrate how these findings may inform policing and suggest potential avenues for collaborations between researchers and practitioners to further enhance understanding of offender decision-making and guide evidence-based policing.
CITATION STYLE
Jaynes, C. M., & Loughran, T. A. (2020). How offender decision-making can inform policing: A focus on the perceived certainty of apprehension. In Advanced Sciences and Technologies for Security Applications (pp. 3–18). Springer. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-41287-6_1
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