Optimal allocation model of the water resources in Harbin under representative concentration pathway scenarios

Abstract

Water conservation is a strategic choice for sustainable societal development. Rational planning and allocation of water resources is an effective way to improve the efficiency of water resource utilization. Taking Harbin as an example, this paper constructs a linear fractional programming model based on chance-constrained programming. The model can reflect the randomness of water inflow under different climatic conditions while taking into account the interests of different decision makers at the upper and lower levels and the two contradictory objectives of maximizing economic benefits and minimizing water demands to improve water distribution efficiency and reduce the complexity of water resource distribution systems. The results showed that under the three climatic scenarios of RCP4.5, RCP6.0, and RCP8.5, the agricultural water supply accounted for 90.04%, 87.66%, and 84.15% of the total regional water supply, respectively. In the process of building the model, considering the importance of sewage treatment in water safety evaluations, the cost of sewage treatment is included in the upper-level benefits of the model. The sustainable development of water resources should be guaranteed while rationally allocating water resources and pursuing economic benefits.