A Kusuoka-Lyons-Victoir particle filter

Abstract

The aim of this paper is to introduce a new numerical algorithm for solving the continuous time nonlinear filtering problem. In particular, we present a particle filter that combines the Kusuoka-Lyons-Victoir (KLV) cubature method on Wiener space to approximate the law of the signal with a minimal variance 'thinning' method, called the tree-based branching algorithm (TBBA) to keep the size of the cubature tree constant in time. The novelty of our approach resides in the adaptation of the TBBA algorithm to simultaneously control the computational effort and incorporate the observation data into the system. We provide the rate of convergence of the approximating particle filter in terms of the computational effort (number of particles) and the discretization grid mesh. Finally, we test the performance of the new algorithm on a benchmark problem (the Beneš filter). © 2013 The Author(s) Published by the Royal Society. All rights reserved.