Risk map for Wolf threats to livestock still predictive 5 years after construction

17Citations
Citations of this article
58Readers
Mendeley users who have this article in their library.

Abstract

Risk maps are spatial models of environmental hazards such as predation on livestock. We tested the long-term validity of a published risk map built from locations where Wisconsin wolves attacked livestock from 1999–2006. Using data collected after model construction, we verified the predictive accuracy of the risk map exceeded 91% for the period 2007–2011. Predictive power lasting 5 years or more substantiates the claim that risk maps are both valid and verified tools for anticipating spatial hazards. Classification errors coincided with verifier uncertainty about which wolves might be responsible. Perceived threats by wolves to domestic animals were not as well predicted (82%) as verified attacks had been and errors in classification coincided with incidents involved domestic animals other than bovids and verifier uncertainty about which wolves were involved. We recommend risk maps be used to target interventions selectively at high-risk sites.

Cite

CITATION STYLE

APA

Treves, A., & Rabenhorst, M. F. (2017). Risk map for Wolf threats to livestock still predictive 5 years after construction. PLoS ONE, 12(6). https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0180043

Register to see more suggestions

Mendeley helps you to discover research relevant for your work.

Already have an account?

Save time finding and organizing research with Mendeley

Sign up for free