Continuity despite crises: Germany’s euro policy in the light of the pandemic, war and inflation

Abstract

After a decade of reforming and stabilising the Economic and Monetary Union (EMU), it has been put to a triple test: the COVID-19 pandemic, the war in Ukraine, and the return of inflation have posed serious challenges to the eurozone that call for policy responses. Against the background of recent advances in European integration theory, we assess whether and how these challenges have led to a change in the EMU policy of the eurozone’s most powerful member, Germany. We conceptualise three ideal-typical policy options for Germany to deal with EMU’s challenges and we search for traces of policy learning from past eurozone crisis management. On the basis of semi-structured interviews with German political elites, we cannot identify any significant change in Germany’s EMU policy. We conclude that the unwavering continuity of Germany’s euro policy makes further substantial integration in EMU unlikely.