Offline to online conversion

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Abstract

We consider the problem of converting offline estimators into an online predictor or estimator with small extra regret. Formally this is the problem of merging a collection of probability measures over strings of length 1,2,3,… into a single probability measure over infinite sequences. We describe various approaches and their pros and cons on various examples. As a side-result we give an elementary non-heuristic purely combinatoric derivation of Turing’s famous estimator. Our main technical contribution is to determine the computational complexity of online estimators with good guarantees in general.

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Hutter, M. (2014). Offline to online conversion. In Lecture Notes in Computer Science (including subseries Lecture Notes in Artificial Intelligence and Lecture Notes in Bioinformatics) (Vol. 8776, pp. 230–244). Springer Verlag. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-11662-4_17

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