An Analysis of Conflict in Northern Ireland

Abstract

In this study, we model the Northern Ireland conflict using the Analytic Hierarchy Process. Our model is an update of earlier analyses carried out in 1976, 1977, and 1982 in which it was shown that the outcome which would most satisfy the aspirations of all parties would be legislative independence for Northern Ireland. The current analysis takes into account important changes that have taken place since the earlier work was performed. We show that the most satisfactory outcome is still one of legislative independence.