The Effect of COVID-19 Restrictions on General and HIV Positive Inpatient Admissions and Treatment Outcomes: An Uncontrolled Before-and-after Study at a Ugandan Tertiary Hospital

Abstract

Measures to contain the Corona Virus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic curtailed access to prevention and treatment services for endemic infectious diseases like HIV. We used an uncontrolled before-and-after study design to compare general and HIV positive (HIV+) inpatient outcomes at a tertiary hospital in Uganda, using electronic records of medical inpatients. Data was downloaded, cleaned in Microsoft Excel, and exported to STATA for analysis. We determined the difference in number of admissions and median length of hospital stay using Mann-Whitney U test; and difference in median survival and incidence rates of mortality using Kaplan – Meier statistics, between the pre- and peri-COVID-19 groups. Of 7506 patients admitted to Kiruddu NRH, 50.8% (3812) were female and 18.7% (1,401) were aged 31–40 years, and 18.8% (1,411) were HIV+. Overall, 24.6% (1849) died. Total admissions were lower (2192 vs. 5314 patients), overall mortality rate higher (41.8% vs. 17.6%, p < 0.01), median length of hospital stay longer (6 vs. 4 days, p < 0.01) and median survival shorter (11 vs. 20 days, Chi-square = 252.05, p < 0.01) in the peri- than in pre-COVID-19 period. The adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) of death was 2.08 (95% CI: 1.85–2.23, p < 0.01) in the peri- compared to the pre-COVID-19 period. These differences were more pronounced in HIV + patients. Compared to pre-COVID-19, the peri-COVID-19 period registered lower inpatient admissions but poorer treatment outcomes for general and HIV + inpatients. Emerging epidemic responses should minimize disruption to inpatient care, especially for HIV + individuals.