Preoperative Lymphocyte-to-Monocyte Ratio as a Prognostic Predictor of Long-Term Mortality in Cardiac Surgery Patients: A Propensity Score Matching Analysis

Abstract

Aims: To evaluate the prognostic value of the preoperative lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR) in patients who underwent cardiac surgery. Methods: Clinical data were extracted from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care III (MIMIC-III) database. The optimal cutoff value of LMR was determined by X-tile software. The Cox proportional hazard model was applied for the identification of independent prognostic factors of 4-year mortality and survival curves were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. In order to balance the influence of potential confounding factors, a 1:1 propensity score matching (PSM) method was performed. Results: A total of 1,701 patients were included. The X-tile software indicated that the optimal cutoff value of the LMR for 4-year mortality was 3.58. After PSM, 489 pairs of score-matched patients were generated. The Cox proportional hazard model showed that patients with an LMR < 3.58 had a significantly higher 4-year mortality than patients with an LMR ≥ 3.58 in the entire cohort (HR = 1.925, 95%CI: 1.509–2.456, p < 0.001) and the PSM subset (HR = 1.568, 95%CI: 1.2–2.05, p = 0.001). The survival curves showed that patients with an LMR < 3.58 had a significant lower 4-year survival rate in the entire cohort (71.7 vs. 88.5%, p < 0.001) and the PSM subset (73.2 vs. 81.4%, p = 0.002). Conclusions: A lower LMR (<3.58) was associated with a higher risk of 4-year mortality and can serve as a prognostic predictor of the long-term mortality in cardiac surgery patients.