Modeling Disaster Operations Management Problems with System Dynamics

Abstract

This chapter introduces the main ideas of the System Dynamics method and discusses and illustrates its applications in Humanitarian Operations problems. Complex, unpredictable and uncontrollable conditions characterize decision-making during disasters. System Dynamics and System Thinking are useful for increasing our understanding of complex systems and their dynamic behavior, caused by feedback and accumulation structures. System dynamics has been used to model strategic resource allocation and capacity building decisions, and for policy evaluation in all phases of the disaster cycle, particularly the preparedness phase. To illustrate the application of system dynamics in humanitarian operations, a simple model is developed for determining volunteer and truck needs for water delivery after an emergency.