An automated method for extending sensitivity analysis to model functions

Abstract

Parameter sensitivity analysis is a relatively well-developed field compared with function sensitivity analysis. How sensitive are model conclusions to the choice of functions used in the right-hand side of difference or differential equation models? Most work in this area has been scenario based where alternative functions are tested. This requires knowledge of plausible alternatives and is usually restricted to well-known functions. In this work, a method is proposed for function sensitivity analysis, which it is hoped will provide a starting point for discussion and stimulating further research on this important but neglected topic. The method provides information on the sensitivity of a model's results to changes in the shape of the functions. This is done in an automated way without the need to specify alternative functional forms. The proposed method is illustrated on a small ecosystem model. ©2010 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.