Research on Import and Export Trade Based on China's FDI to Central Asian Countries

Abstract

Based on China’s FDI and import and export trade data with Central Asian countries from 2011 to 2019, this article studies whether and how China’s investment in Central Asian countries affects import and export trade. The analysis methods of this article include descriptive statistics and empirical analysis, which are used to describe the relationship and trend of China’s FDI to Central Asian countries and import and export trade. In the empirical analysis, this paper chooses the panel data linear regression model. Through regression analysis of FDI-import and FDI-export, we test the impact of China’s FDI changes in Central Asian countries on import and export trade. The research results show that China’s FDI to Central Asian countries has a significant trade promotion effect on import and export trade, and the growth of China’s FDI to Central Asian countries will effectively drive the growth of import and export trade. China’s FDI in Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan has a strong trade creation effect. China’s FDI in Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan has a strong trade substitution effect. China should strengthen economic and trade cooperation with Central Asian countries and expand the scale of FDI. Each country should reduce trade barriers, expand investment fields, and provide favorable policy support for expanding the scale of FDI.