Estimation of the Probability of a Failure Set

Abstract

In this chapter we are going to deal with methods to solve the problem posed in a graphical way in Chapter 6. The wave height (HmO) and still water level (SWL) have been recorded during 828 storm events that are relevant for the Pettemer Zeewering. Engineers of RIKZ (Institute for Coastal and Marine Management) have determined failure conditions, that is, those combinations of HmO and SWL that result in overtopping the seawall, thus creating a dangerous situation. The set of those combinations forms a failure set C.