Mind the gap: comparing exploration effort with global biodiversity patterns and climate projections to determine ocean areas with greatest exploration needs

Abstract

The oceans contain 1,335 million km3 of water covering 361.9 million km2 of seafloor across 71% of the planet. In the past few decades, there has been substantial effort put into mapping and exploring the ocean fueled by the advent of new technologies that more easily enable deepwater access. However, we are still far from achieving our shared goals of a well characterized and documented ocean. In 2010, Webb et al. documented the paucity of deep-sea data in general, with a specific focus on the lack of pelagic records in the Ocean Biogeographic Information System OBIS, which is the largest of the ocean biodiversity archives. While significant exploration progress has been made, the rate of change in the ocean is outstripping the rate of characterization and research. Given the limited resources available, future work needs to be prioritized to focus on areas of greatest need. Here, we investigated several lines of inquiry to determine priority areas for future exploration. We accumulated the largest database of global deep submergence dive records ever compiled and used it, plus OBIS biodiversity records, to assess the level of exploration in different ocean regions. Then, we compared these measures of exploration effort with different biogeographic province schemas and estimates of climate change velocity projections to identify the largest remaining gaps in exploration and research sampling. Given that marine science has only explored between 5 and 20% of the ocean (depending on estimates) in the last hundred and fifty years, future exploration needs to be more targeted to attempt to keep pace with the rate and impact of environmental and biodiversity change in the ocean.