Neural network model based on fuzzy ARTMAP for forecasting of highway traffic data

Abstract

In this chapter, a neural network model is presented for forecasting the average speed values at highway traffic detectors locations using the Fuzzy ARTMAP theory. The performance of the model is measured by the deviation between the speed values provided by the loop detectors and the predicted speed values. Different Fuzzy ARTMAP configuration cases are analysed in their training and testing phases. Some ad-hoc mechanisms added to the basic Fuzzy ARTMAP structure are also described to improve the entire model performance. The achieved results make this model suitable for being implemented on advanced traffic management systems (ATMS) and advanced traveller information system (ATIS). © 2008 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg.