Clonal dominance is an adverse prognostic factor in acute myeloid leukemia treated with intensive chemotherapy

Abstract

Intra-tumor heterogeneity portends poor outcome in many cancers. In AML, a higher number of drivers worsens prognosis. The Shannon Index is a robust metric of clonal heterogeneity that accounts for the number of clones, but also their relative abundance. We show that a Shannon Index can be estimated from bulk sequencing, which is correlated (ρ = 0.76) with clonal diversity from single-colony genotyping. In a discovery cohort of 292 patients with sequencing of 43 genes, a higher number of drivers (HR = 1.18, P = 0.028) and a lower Shannon Index (HR = 0.68, P = 0.048), the latter reflecting clonal dominance, are independently associated with worse OS independently of European LeukemiaNet 2017 risk. These findings are validated in an independent cohort of 1184 patients with 111-gene sequencing (number of drivers HR = 1.16, P = 1 × 10−5, Shannon Index HR = 0.81, P = 0.007). By re-interrogating paired diagnosis/relapse exomes from 50 cytogenetically normal AMLs, we find clonal dominance at diagnosis to be correlated with the gain of a significantly higher number of mutations at relapse (P = 6 × 10−6), hence with clonal sweeping. Our results suggest that clonal dominance at diagnosis is associated with the presence of a leukemic phenotype allowing rapid expansion of new clones and driving relapse after chemotherapy.