Was the extended rainy winter 2018/19 over the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze river driven by anthropogenic forcing?

Abstract

Anthropogenic forcing reduced the probability of rainfall amount in the extended rainy winter of 2018/19 over the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River, China, by ~19%, but exerted no influence on the excessive rainy days, based on HadGEM3-GA6-N216 ensembles. Instead the natural variability played a large and important role in this event.