DeepPrognosis: Preoperative Prediction of Pancreatic Cancer Survival and Surgical Margin via Contrast-Enhanced CT Imaging

Abstract

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is one of the most lethal cancers and carries a dismal prognosis. Surgery remains the best chance of a potential cure for patients who are eligible for initial resection of PDAC. However, outcomes vary significantly even among the resected patients of the same stage and received similar treatments. Accurate preoperative prognosis of resectable PDACs for personalized treatment is thus highly desired. Nevertheless, there are no automated methods yet to fully exploit the contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CE-CT) imaging for PDAC. Tumor attenuation changes across different CT phases can reflect the tumor internal stromal fractions and vascularization of individual tumors that may impact the clinical outcomes. In this work, we propose a novel deep neural network for the survival prediction of resectable PDAC patients, named as 3D Contrast-Enhanced Convolutional Long Short-Term Memory network (CE-ConvLSTM), which can derive the tumor attenuation signatures or patterns from CE-CT imaging studies. We present a multi-task CNN to accomplish both tasks of outcome and margin prediction where the network benefits from learning the tumor resection margin related features to improve survival prediction. The proposed framework can improve the prediction performances compared with existing state-of-the-art survival analysis approaches. The tumor signature built from our model has evidently added values to be combined with the existing clinical staging system.