Temperature and pressure corrections applied to rock thermal conductivity: impact on subsurface temperature prognosis and heat-flow determination in geothermal exploration

Abstract

Precise knowledge of the subsurface thermal field plays a key role in the assessment of geothermal targets. Unfortunately, deep underground temperature data is generally scarce and a matter of research. To achieve first estimates for subsurface temperatures, steady-state conductive thermal modeling is commonly applied. Thereby the rock thermal conductivity is an essential parameter, which is usually determined under ambient laboratory conditions. To arrive with in situ thermal conductivity, the ambient values need to be corrected for in situ temperature and pressure. In this paper, we apply different conversion functions for the correction of thermal conductivity and study the impact on the resultant temperature and heat flow prognoses for a synthetic, upper crustal sedimentary and a magmatic scenario along 2-D geological cross sections. Application of the correction functions results in maximum temperature prognosis uncertainties of about 8 °C and 55 °C at 2 km depth and at 8 km depth, respectively. The effect positively correlates with the magnitude of the basal heat flow used in modeling. In contrast to the heat flow determined at depth, the resulting surface heat flow is only minor affected by the different correction functions applied. In addition, the modeled temperature at depth is strongly dependent on the type and sequence of application of the pressure and temperature correction equations.