Forecasting paratransit utility by using multinomial logit model: A case study

Abstract

Paratransit plays an important role in the urban passenger transportation system in the developing countries. Three cities viz. Imphal East, Imphal West and Silchar in India have been undertaken for the study. Household survey and traffic survey have been employed to collect data for the paratransit users. Modelling techniques and tools also have been used to forecast the utility of paratransit in the region. For this purpose, a Multinomial Logit Model (MNL) had been used. A total of seven variables were considered in the model estimation of which three are quantitative i.e. trip length (km), travel cost (rupees) and travel time (minutes) and four are qualitative variables i.e. reliability, comfort, road condition and convenience.