Challenges of Decision Making in the Context of Uncertain Forecasts in France

Abstract

With in-depth material of every detail of the topic, this major new Springer handbook0offers unrivalled coverage of today’s cutting-edge techniques in flood and weather0prediction. The ensemble technique, which generates multiple forecasts from differing0initial parameters, is a high-profile research target with the potential to enhance the0accuracy of forecasting and reduce the loss of life and damage to property caused by0riverine floods, violent weather systems, and longer-term weather problems such as0droughts. This guide adopts a multidisciplinary perspective to the subject that includes0the input of users and decision makers as well as meteorologists and hydrologists0themselves. It explains everything from basic mathematical and statistical principles to0valuable post-processing protocols for model outputs.0With in-depth material of every detail of the topic, this major new Springer handbook0offers unrivalled coverage of today’s cutting-edge techniques in flood and weather0prediction. The ensemble technique, which generates multiple forecasts from differing0initial parameters, is a high-profile research target with the potential to enhance the0accuracy of forecasting and reduce the loss of life and damage to property caused by0riverine floods, violent weather systems, and longer-term weather problems such as0droughts. This guide adopts a multidisciplinary perspective to the subject that includes0the input of users and decision makers as well as meteorologists and hydrologists0themselves. It explains everything from basic mathematical and statistical principles to0valuable post-processing protocols for model outputs.