Reconstruction and tsunami modeling of a submarine landslide on the ionian margin of Calabria (Mediterranean sea)

Abstract

The Ionian margins of Calabria are affected by repeated sediment failures, recorded by slide scars at seabed and stacked slide deposits. We present a reconstruction of the geometry and dynamics of one of the largest seabed features, the Assi failure on the relatively steep slope off southern Calabria, and use it as input to numerical modeling to evaluate the potential tsunamigenic hazard. The Assi failure is up to 6 km wide and at least 18 km long, and involved the displacement of ca. 2 km3 of sediment, inferred to have taken place within the last 4,000 years in two main phases. The first and larger phase is used as input to the tsunami modeling, on the assumption that the slide moved in a single step as a coherent mass of 1.85 km3, in order to evaluate the most disruptive possible consequences. The results indicate that within 8 minutes, waves just over 1 m in height affect the southern Calabrian coast between Monasterace and Roccella Jonica, where their capacity to cause damage could be amplified in small harbours. This shows that tsunamis represent a hazard for Ionian coastal areas, and calls for accurate monitoring and further study.