Relative Efficiency of Selection Methods for Profit in Dairy Cows

Abstract

Selection singly on milk yield and calculated profitability traits, selection indexes, and regression indexes were compared for the relative gains in expected profit to 72 mo of age or life time profit. Indexes consisted of five traits of the first lactation: milk, fat percent, days in milk, number of breedings, and age at first calving. The study was on 1806 Holstein cows sired by 404 bulls in 38 California herds. Genetic gain in total profit was 13 to 14% greater when selection was on estimated profit to 41 mo than on milk yield to 305 days in the first lactation. Selection on traits of estimated profit on three bases, to 305 days in first lactation, to end of first lactation, and to 41 mo of age was 2 to 14% more efficient for genetic gain in total profit than selection on corresponding traits of milk yield or selection indexes. Regression indexes were 3 to 19% more efficient than selection indexes for predicting subsequent cumulative profit. In contrast, selection indexes were 6 to 20% more efficient than regression indexes for genetic gain in total profit. Heritabilities for estimated profit and traits of milk yield in the first lactation ranged from .26 to .49 for cows with two or more calvings. Heritabilities for profit to end of first lactation and to 41 mo of age exceeded comparable milk yield traits by 15 to 27%. The economic value of a 1-mo decrease in age at first calving was equivalent to an increase of 138 kg milk yield to the end of the first lactation for gain in total profit to 72 mo of age. Similarly, the genetic effects, or relative selection value, of a 1-mo decrease in age at first calving is valued at approximately 471 kg milk. © 1977, American Dairy Science Association. All rights reserved.