Predictors of All-Cause Mortality in Clinical Ambulatory Monitoring

Abstract

The prognostic value of sleep blood pressure reported by recent studies is variable. Our aim was to examine the relationship of sleep blood pressure, measured by 24-hour ambulatory blood pressure monitoring, with all-cause mortality. We studied a cohort of 3957 patients aged 55±16 (58% treated) referred for ambulatory monitoring (1991–2005). Sleep, including daytime sleep, was recorded by diary. Linkage with the national population register identified 303 deaths during 27 750 person-years of follow-up. Hazard ratios (HRs) for mortality in Cox proportional hazards models that included age, sex, hypertension, and diabetes treatment were 1.32 (95% CI: 0.99 to 1.76) for awake hypertension (≥135/85 mm Hg), and 1.67 (95% CI: 1.25 to 2.23) for sleep hypertension (≥120/70 mm Hg). By quintile analysis, the upper fifths of systolic and diastolic dipping during sleep were associated with adjusted HRs of 0.58 (95% CI: 0.41 to 0.82) and 0.68 (95% CI: 0.48 to 0.96), respectively. In a model controlling for awake systolic blood pressure, hazards associated with reduced systolic dipping increased from dippers (>10%; HR: 1.0), through nondippers (0% to 9.9%; HR: 1.30; 95% CI: 1.00 to 1.69) to risers (<0%; HR: 1.96; 95% CI: 1.43 to 2.96). Thus, in practice, ambulatory blood pressure predicts mortality significantly better than clinic blood pressure. The availability of blood pressure measures during sleep and, in particular, the pattern of dipping add clinically predictive information and provide further justification for the use of ambulatory monitoring in patient management.