Definitions and elements of endpoints in phase III randomized trials for the treatment of COVID-19: a cross-sectional analysis of trials registered in ClinicalTrials.gov

Abstract

Background: There are several challenges in designing clinical trials for the treatment of novel infectious diseases, such as COVID-19. In particular, the definition of endpoints related to the severity, time frame, and clinical course remains unclear. Therefore, we conducted a cross-sectional analysis of phase III randomized trials for COVID-19 registered at ClinicalTrials.gov. Methods: We collected the data from ClinicalTrials.gov on March 31, 2021, by specifying the following search conditions under Advanced Search: Condition or disease: (COVID-19) OR (SARS-CoV-2); Study type: Interventional Studies; Study Results: All Studies; Recruitment: Not yet recruiting, Recruiting, Enrolling by invitation, Active, Not recruiting, Suspended, Completed; Sex: All; and Phase: Phase 3. From the downloaded search results, we selected trials that met the following criteria: Primary Purpose: Treatment; Allocation: Randomized. We manually transcribed information not included in the downloaded file, such as Primary Outcome Measures, Secondary Outcome Measures, Time Frame, and Inclusion Criteria. In the analysis, we examined primary and secondary endpoints in trials with severe and non-severe patients, including the types of endpoints, time frame, clinical course, and sample size. Results: A total of 406 trials were included in the analysis. The median numbers of endpoints in trials with severe and non-severe patients were 9 and 7, respectively. Approximately 25% of the trials used multiple primary endpoints. Regardless of the type of endpoint, the time frames were longer in the trials with severe patients than in the trials with non-severe patients. In the evaluation of the clinical course, worsening was often considered in binary endpoints, and improvement was considered in time-to-event endpoints. The sample size was the largest in clinical trials using binary endpoints. Conclusions: Endpoints can differ with respect to severity, and the clinical course and time frame are important for defining endpoints. This study provides information that can facilitate the achievement of a consensus for the endpoints in evaluating COVID-19 treatments.