The information technology of multi-model forecasting of the regional comprehensive security

Abstract

The paper focuses on forecasting of the state of the regional comprehensive security by using of multi-model complexes. The informational technology for forecasting of such security based on simulation is proposed. Particular attention is paid the formal description of comprehensive security by using of the theory of matrices and graphs. Computer models designed by using of agent-based modeling and system dynamics method were developed in this study. The results of computer simulation can be considered as analytical information for decision-making in the field of comprehensive security of regional socio-economic and nature-technical systems.