Prospective scenarios: Systematic review at lisa, emerald, scopus and web of science

Abstract

The aims of this study was to identify in the Emerald, Lisa, Scopus and Web of Science databases the documents that discuss the theme "prospective scenarios" and characterize them in terms of keywords, journals and authorship. The importance of the application of techniques for prospecting scenarios to identify strategic information and for the definition of priorities of organizations is a constant in recent years, because decision making is a complex activity, these depend on the survival of organizations in a competitive environment. This research is by nature applied, uses bibliographic sources and bibliometry as an aid in the meta-analysis of the results. The approach is quali-quantitative and has exploratory and descriptive objectives. For data collection and organization, a systematic review based on PRISMA was used, with temporality defined between 2009-2019. The result was 64 relevant texts, gathered in eight sub-themes, indexed by 208 keywords, with 229 authors from 26 different countries. The sub-themes converge to the concept of prospective scenarios and add multidisciplinarity to the method. The results indicate that the identified texts can be used as reference by companies and/or state organizations, provided that they are adapted to the realities found.