Application of techniques for moving dynamics series for planning and forecasting indicators in agrotourism

Abstract

Planning and forecasting in agrotourism have their own characteristics, due to the specifics of the industry, associated with the finding of this area in close connection with agriculture and tourism. At the same time, in the planning of agricultural indicators, it is necessary to adhere to long-tested and positively proven methods based on quantitative methods. The qualitative side of agrotourism implies the need for a separate approach to planning a number of indicators, such as the price of a service. Forecasting methods here should take into account the purely market orientation of the tourist component. In addition, the field of agrotourism is mostly represented by small farms, which most often do not use professional software products for the purpose of forecasting indicators and further planning their activities on this basis. This article describes the methods of moving the dynamics series for planning and forecasting indicators in agrotourism.