Usage of Modern Exponential-Smoothing Models in Network Traffic Modelling

Abstract

The article summarized current state of our works regarding usage of exponential smoothing Holt-Winters'-based models for analysis, modelling and forecasting Time Series with data of computer network traffic. Especially we use two models proposed by J. W. Taylor to deal with double and triple seasonal cycles for modelling network traffic in two local area networks and three campus networks. We use three time series with data of TCP, UDP and ICMP traffic (given by number of packets per interval) on each network. © Springer International Publishing Switzerland 2013.