Paleoclimate reconstruction and future forecast based on coral skeletal climatology

Abstract

Global warming (due to increased carbon dioxide in the atmosphere) has attracted much attention. Yet, predicting trends in the Earth's climate remains difficult. A more sophisticated and accurate Global Warming model can be obtained by reconstructing climatic change since the Industrial Revolution, and other past periods of warming. To this end, a promising area of research in marine science is coral skeletal climatology, which offers a unique method for accurately reconstructing marine temperature and saline concentration over the past several hundred years, with a high temporal resolution (ca. 2 weeks) based on chemical and isotope analysis of long-lived coral skeletons. This method has been successfully applied to the Little Ice Age around the 18th century and the mid-Pliocene warming period of 3.5 million years ago. It can also be applied to biological and environment studies on massive coral bleaching events caused by unusually high oceanic temperature levels and other environmental issues such as ocean acidification.