MEMPERCEPAT PEMULIHAN EKONOMI, MENJAGA STABILITAS NILAI TUKAR

Abstract

VAR models for non-stationary time series with one or more cointegration relationships have been developed using the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM). The unique way of behaving in the VECM should be seen through the reactions of each dependent variable to shocks to these and other environmental factors. The purpose of this study is to determine the relationship between Indonesia's economic expansion and exchange rate stability. With a free-floating regime from 1980 to 2022, Indonesia's exchange rate fluctuated, affecting economic stability. Exchange rates are correlated with economic expansion in both the short and long term, according to this study. Long-term economic growth can be driven by exchange rate appreciation, but there is no causal relationship because economic growth factors go beyond exchange rate considerations