Declining trust in congress: Effects of polarization and consequences for democracy

Abstract

Why has Congress, once a widely trusted institution, experienced such a uniquely dramatic decline in the public's confidence, and what are the consequences for democracy? This article sets out to systematically address these questions. First, I discuss how we can gauge Americans' levels of trust in Congress. Second, I examine trends over time in public trust in Congress, looking both partisan differences within this measure, and also overall differences in comparison to other institutions. Third, I examine various ways in which the muchnoted rise in party polarization in Congress might explain the downward trend in Americans' trust in that institution. Finally, I explore one potentially important consequence of declining trust in the legislative branch: Americans' willingness to obey laws. The results suggest that those interested in the problem of declining trust in government would be wise to focus their attention on Congress. Compared to other institutions, the problem in Congress appears more severe, more intractable, and carries greater political consequences.