Use of Data Mining for Root Cause Analysis of Traffic Accidents in Colombia

Abstract

The high impact of traffic accidents makes it imperative to formulate public policies to reduce their occurrence. In this task, knowing the cause of accidents is of paramount importance. The use of data mining and big data adapts to the complexity of the phenomenon under study. In order to classify some possible causes of traffic accidents, we built a data model to describe the behavior and dynamic of the participant agents in the traffic accident event in Colombia. This paper presents the application of MLP and Naïve Bayes algorithms to identify the possible immediate cause and the rules decision algorithm PART for the root cause of traffic accidents. Models have been tested aiming to obtain the goodness of fit by increasing metrics like Recall, Precision, ROC and Kappa index, and minimize the RMSE.