Persistence and load of high-risk HPV are predictors for development of high-grade cervical lesions: A longitudinal French cohort study

Abstract

Oncogenic HPV types are the major cause of worldwide cervical cancer, but only a small proportion of infected women will develop high-grade cervical intraepithelial neoplasia or cancer (CIN2/3+). We performed a prospective study including 781 women with normal, atypical squamous cells of undetermined significance (ASCUS) or low-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion (LGSIL) cytology, and infected or not by high-risk (HR) HPV tested by Hybrid Capture II. Women were followed up every 6 months for a median period of 22 months. Among the HR-HPV-positive women at entry, more than half cleared their virus in 7.5 months; the clearance rate was greater for low viral loads than for high loads and also was higher in women with an initial ASCUS/LGSIL smear than in women with normal cytology. The incidence of cytologic abnormalities strongly depended on baseline viral load and HR-HPV persistence. Maintenance of cytologic abnormalities was associated with the outcome of HR-HPV status (negative