Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio predicts development of immune-related adverse events and outcomes from immune checkpoint blockade: A case-control study

Abstract

The utility of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) utility in predicting immune-related adverse events (irAEs) and survival have not been well studied in the context of treatment with immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs). We performed a case-control study of cancer patients who received at least one dose of ICI in a tertiary hospital. We examined NLR and PLR in irAE cases and controls. Logistic and Cox regression models were used to identify independent risk factors for irAEs, progression-free survival (PFS), and overall survival (OS). The study included 91 patients with irAEs and 56 controls. Multiple logistic regression showed that NLR < 3 at baseline was associated with higher occurrence of irAEs. Multivariate Cox regression showed that development of irAEs and reduction in NLR from baseline to week 6 were associated with longer PFS. Higher NLR values at baseline and/or week 6 were independently associated with shorter OS. A reduction in NLR from baseline to week 6 was associated with longer OS. In this study of cancer patients treated with ICIs, NLR has a bidirectional relationship with adverse outcomes. Lower NLR was associated with increased occurrence of irAEs while higher NLR values were associated with worse clinical outcomes.